{ "jurisdiction": "federal", "description": "National voting-intention polls for the next Australian federal election (due 2028). Primary-vote and two-party-preferred figures as published by each pollster. Coalition is the sum of the Liberal, Liberal National (Qld) and National columns; Others is the sum of Independent and Other. Values a pollster does not report are null and render as 'not reported' — never estimated.", "attribution": "Poll figures are facts published by the named polling organisations; where available each record links to that organisation's own release. Table structure and aggregation sourced from Wikipedia, 'Opinion polling for the next Australian federal election' (CC BY-SA 4.0).", "polls": [ { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-07-19", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-07-13", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-07-19", "sampleSize": 1679, "primary": { "alp": 27.5, "lnp": 23, "grn": 14, "onp": 22.5, "oth": 13 }, "components": { "lib": 20.5, "nat": 2.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 56, "lnp": 44 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10291-federal-voting-intention-july-20-2026", "published": "2026-07-19", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "newspoll-2026-07-16", "pollster": "Newspoll", "client": "The Australian", "fieldworkStart": "2026-07-13", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-07-16", "sampleSize": 1238, "primary": { "alp": 30, "lnp": 19, "grn": 12, "onp": 30, "oth": 9 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Newspoll / The Australian", "url": "https://www.theaustralian.com.au/subscribe/news/1/?sourceCode=TAWEB_WRE170_a&dest=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.theaustralian.com.au%2Fnation%2Fpolitics%2Fnewspoll-pauline-hanson-regains-ground-and-liberals-rise-as-labor-falls-to-equal-lowest-point-since-2022%2Fnews-story%2Fda8374ff67e3769478b13867909a1074&memtype=anonymous&mode=premium&v21=GROUPA-Segment-1-NOSCORE", "published": "2026-07-16", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "yougov-2026-07-14", "pollster": "YouGov", "client": "Sky News Australia", "fieldworkStart": "2026-07-07", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-07-14", "sampleSize": 1500, "primary": { "alp": 28, "lnp": 20, "grn": 12, "onp": 26, "oth": 14 }, "components": { "ind": 6, "othOnly": 8 }, "tpp": { "alp": 53, "lnp": 47 }, "source": { "publisher": "YouGov / Sky News Australia", "url": "https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/pauline-hansons-monoculture-call-sees-one-nation-support-slide-as-labor-regains-poll-lead-in-sky-news-pulse/news-story/ff02004ef7e9634e18b54b227fba984b", "published": "2026-07-14", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-07-12", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-07-06", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-07-12", "sampleSize": 1612, "primary": { "alp": 27.5, "lnp": 20, "grn": 12.5, "onp": 28, "oth": 12 }, "components": { "lib": 17.5, "nat": 2.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 54, "lnp": 46 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10283-federal-voting-intention-july-13-2026", "published": "2026-07-12", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "resolve-2026-07-11", "pollster": "Resolve", "client": "Sydney Morning Herald/The Age", "fieldworkStart": "2026-07-06", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-07-11", "sampleSize": 2252, "primary": { "alp": 28, "lnp": 23, "grn": 12, "onp": 26, "oth": 11 }, "components": { "ind": 6, "othOnly": 5 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Resolve / Sydney Morning Herald/The Age", "url": "https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/the-varnish-has-come-off-support-slips-for-hanson-20260712-p60el9.html", "published": "2026-07-11", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "demosau-2026-07-08", "pollster": "DemosAU", "client": "Capital Brief", "fieldworkStart": "2026-07-03", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-07-08", "sampleSize": 2694, "primary": { "alp": 26, "lnp": 21, "grn": 14, "onp": 29, "oth": 10 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "DemosAU / Capital Brief", "url": "https://demosau.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Capital-BriefDemosAU-Federal-Poll-July-2026.pdf", "published": "2026-07-08", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-07-05", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-28", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-07-05", "sampleSize": 1584, "primary": { "alp": 28, "lnp": 21.5, "grn": 14, "onp": 22.5, "oth": 14 }, "components": { "lib": 19, "nat": 2.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 55, "lnp": 45 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10276-federal-voting-intention-july-6-2026", "published": "2026-07-05", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "yougov-2026-06-30", "pollster": "YouGov", "client": "Sky News Australia", "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-23", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-30", "sampleSize": 1502, "primary": { "alp": 29, "lnp": 17, "grn": 13, "onp": 30, "oth": 11 }, "components": { "ind": 6, "othOnly": 5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 54, "lnp": 46 }, "source": { "publisher": "YouGov / Sky News Australia", "url": "https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/one-nation-records-historic-result-in-latest-poll-since-hansons-monoculture-call-despite-albanese-rejecting-it-as-nonsense/news-story/3ecdbeb123199de72a7c12b4fb9efbd2", "published": "2026-06-30", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "essential-2026-06-29", "pollster": "Essential", "client": "The Guardian", "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-24", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-29", "sampleSize": 1017, "primary": { "alp": 30, "lnp": 23, "grn": 10, "onp": 26, "oth": 10 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Essential / The Guardian", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/jun/30/guardian-essential-poll-voters-reject-key-one-nation-policies-as-support-drops", "published": "2026-06-29", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest", "note": "Published two-party-preferred (46/48) does not sum to 100 — typically an undecided share is included. Excluded as not comparable." } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-06-28", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-22", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-28", "sampleSize": 1639, "primary": { "alp": 28, "lnp": 21.5, "grn": 13, "onp": 26, "oth": 11.5 }, "components": { "lib": 19, "nat": 2.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 53.5, "lnp": 46.5 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10266-federal-voting-intention-june-29-2026", "published": "2026-06-28", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "redbridge-accent-2026-06-26", "pollster": "RedBridge/Accent", "client": "Australian Financial Review", "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-22", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-26", "sampleSize": 1006, "primary": { "alp": 30, "lnp": 18, "grn": 14, "onp": 29, "oth": 9 }, "tpp": { "alp": 54, "lnp": 46 }, "source": { "publisher": "RedBridge/Accent / Australian Financial Review", "url": "https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/hanson-takes-a-hit-as-labor-claws-back-the-lead-poll-20260628-p60ao9", "published": "2026-06-26", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "newspoll-2026-06-25", "pollster": "Newspoll", "client": "The Australian", "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-22", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-25", "sampleSize": 1235, "primary": { "alp": 33, "lnp": 17, "grn": 13, "onp": 29, "oth": 8 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Newspoll / The Australian", "url": "https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation%2Fpolitics%2Fnewspoll-anthony-albanese-and-labor-bounce-back-after-budget-tax-backflips-take-primary-vote-lead-from-one-nation%2Fnews-story%2F3c57c1c54f74b697324f5b5917e74337", "published": "2026-06-25", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-06-21", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-15", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-21", "sampleSize": 1575, "primary": { "alp": 27, "lnp": 17.5, "grn": 13.5, "onp": 31.5, "oth": 10.5 }, "components": { "lib": 15, "nat": 2.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 54, "lnp": 46 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10261-federal-voting-intention-june-22-2026", "published": "2026-06-21", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "demosau-2026-06-18", "pollster": "DemosAU", "client": "Capital Brief", "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-16", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-18", "sampleSize": 1497, "primary": { "alp": 27, "lnp": 18, "grn": 13, "onp": 30, "oth": 12 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "DemosAU / Capital Brief", "url": "https://demosau.com/news/one-nation-lead-grows-as-l-np-primary-sinks-to-18/", "published": "2026-06-18", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "yougov-2026-06-16", "pollster": "YouGov", "client": "Sky News Australia", "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-09", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-16", "sampleSize": 1500, "primary": { "alp": 26, "lnp": 21, "grn": 13, "onp": 28, "oth": 12 }, "components": { "ind": 7, "othOnly": 5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 52, "lnp": 48 }, "source": { "publisher": "YouGov / Sky News Australia", "url": "https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/one-nation-leads-primary-vote-as-80-per-cent-of-voters-say-party-ready-to-govern-by-2028-sky-news-pulse-yougov-poll/news-story/0943b53d79d1e4fb27860c4020be7642", "published": "2026-06-16", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-06-14", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-08", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-14", "sampleSize": 1583, "primary": { "alp": 28, "lnp": 17, "grn": 14, "onp": 29.5, "oth": 11.5 }, "components": { "lib": 15, "nat": 2 }, "tpp": { "alp": 54.5, "lnp": 45.5 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10253-federal-voting-intention-june-15-2026", "published": "2026-06-14", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "resolve-2026-06-13", "pollster": "Resolve", "client": "Sydney Morning Herald/The Age", "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-08", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-13", "sampleSize": 1801, "primary": { "alp": 28, "lnp": 20, "grn": 12, "onp": 29, "oth": 12 }, "components": { "ind": 7, "othOnly": 5 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Resolve / Sydney Morning Herald/The Age", "url": "https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/hanson-overtakes-albanese-as-preferred-pm-coalition-crashes-to-record-low-20260614-p606lg.html", "published": "2026-06-13", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-06-07", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-01", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-07", "sampleSize": 1631, "primary": { "alp": 26, "lnp": 17.5, "grn": 15.5, "onp": 29.5, "oth": 11.5 }, "components": { "lib": 14.5, "nat": 3 }, "tpp": { "alp": 56, "lnp": 44 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10246-federal-voting-intention-june-9-2026", "published": "2026-06-07", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "newspoll-2026-06-04", "pollster": "Newspoll", "client": "The Australian", "fieldworkStart": "2026-06-01", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-04", "sampleSize": 1240, "primary": { "alp": 30, "lnp": 18, "grn": 11, "onp": 31, "oth": 10 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Newspoll / The Australian", "url": "https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/newspoll-pauline-hansons-one-nation-in-front-of-labor-anthony-albanese-gets-worst-ever-rating/news-story/f4e47be80091b678d835cb9334fc8b0a", "published": "2026-06-04", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "yougov-2026-06-02", "pollster": "YouGov", "client": "Sky News Australia", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-26", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-06-02", "sampleSize": 1471, "primary": { "alp": 26, "lnp": 20, "grn": 13, "onp": 29, "oth": 12 }, "components": { "ind": 6, "othOnly": 6 }, "tpp": { "alp": 51.5, "lnp": 48.5 }, "source": { "publisher": "YouGov / Sky News Australia", "url": "https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/one-nation-surge-shatters-labor-as-albanese-support-sinks-according-to-exclusive-new-polling/news-story/0fe9ddf8797b5e529436557d7ce63897", "published": "2026-06-02", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-05-31", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-25", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-31", "sampleSize": 1542, "primary": { "alp": 27, "lnp": 20, "grn": 13.5, "onp": 27, "oth": 12.5 }, "components": { "lib": 17.5, "nat": 2.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 55.5, "lnp": 44.5 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10242-federal-voting-intention-june-1-2026", "published": "2026-05-31", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "redbridge-accent-2026-05-28", "pollster": "RedBridge/Accent", "client": "Australian Financial Review", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-25", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-28", "sampleSize": 1005, "primary": { "alp": 28, "lnp": 20, "grn": 12, "onp": 31, "oth": 9 }, "tpp": { "alp": 51, "lnp": 49 }, "source": { "publisher": "RedBridge/Accent / Australian Financial Review", "url": "https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/one-nation-surges-ahead-of-labor-as-budget-flops-poll-20260531-p602d9", "published": "2026-05-28", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "fox-hedgehog-2026-05-26", "pollster": "Fox & Hedgehog", "client": "The Daily Telegraph", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-25", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-26", "sampleSize": 1700, "primary": { "alp": 29, "lnp": 25, "grn": 10, "onp": 27, "oth": 9 }, "tpp": { "alp": 49, "lnp": 51 }, "source": { "publisher": "Fox & Hedgehog / The Daily Telegraph", "url": "https://drive.google.com/file/d/13CXxW2Ojuq8E7pJRVEEh9fO80SIiEikp/view", "published": "2026-05-26", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "agenda-c-synesis-2026-05-26", "pollster": "Agenda C Synesis", "client": "Fair Go Australia", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-22", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-26", "sampleSize": 1232, "primary": { "alp": 29, "lnp": 18, "grn": 10, "onp": 24, "oth": 19 }, "components": { "ind": 6, "othOnly": 13 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Agenda C Synesis / Fair Go Australia", "url": "https://www.news.com.au/finance/money/tax/no-basis-labor-frontbencher-mark-butler-warns-landlords-over-500-a-year-rent-hikes-linked-to-cgt/news-story/0c74b51fc1b0b5704d9b4a0adf2df699", "published": "2026-05-26", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "essential-2026-05-25", "pollster": "Essential", "client": "The Guardian", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-20", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-25", "sampleSize": 1027, "primary": { "alp": 29, "lnp": 23, "grn": 11, "onp": 28, "oth": 9 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Essential / The Guardian", "url": "https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2026/may/27/guardian-essential-poll-labors-housing-and-tax-changes-fail-to-win-over-voters-as-support-for-one-nation-swells", "published": "2026-05-25", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest", "note": "Published two-party-preferred (48/47) does not sum to 100 — typically an undecided share is included. Excluded as not comparable." } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-05-24", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-18", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-24", "sampleSize": 1613, "primary": { "alp": 27.5, "lnp": 23, "grn": 13.5, "onp": 25.5, "oth": 10.5 }, "components": { "lib": 21, "nat": 2 }, "tpp": { "alp": 53, "lnp": 47 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10231-federal-voting-intention-may-25-2026", "published": "2026-05-24", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "demosau-2026-05-20", "pollster": "DemosAU", "client": "Capital Brief", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-15", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-20", "sampleSize": 1502, "primary": { "alp": 26, "lnp": 23, "grn": 13, "onp": 28, "oth": 10 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "DemosAU / Capital Brief", "url": "https://demosau.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/05/DemosAU-Fed-Poll-May-2026-FINAL.pdf", "published": "2026-05-20", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "yougov-2026-05-19", "pollster": "YouGov", "client": "Sky News Australia", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-12", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-19", "sampleSize": 1500, "primary": { "alp": 28, "lnp": 23, "grn": 13, "onp": 25, "oth": 11 }, "components": { "ind": 5, "othOnly": 6 }, "tpp": { "alp": 52, "lnp": 48 }, "source": { "publisher": "YouGov / Sky News Australia", "url": "https://www.skynews.com.au/australia-news/politics/labors-primary-vote-plummets-amid-backlash-to-anthony-albaneses-budget-broken-promises/news-story/85b0175fa0db4e02b85f4161771cdefd", "published": "2026-05-19", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "newspoll-2026-05-17", "pollster": "Newspoll", "client": "The Australian", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-14", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-17", "sampleSize": 1252, "primary": { "alp": 31, "lnp": 20, "grn": 12, "onp": 27, "oth": 10 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Newspoll / The Australian", "url": "https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/newspoll-jim-chalmers-and-anthony-albaneses-budget-flops-with-every-generation-of-voters/news-story/45c8892cc75b73f650c0b6b50405fce9", "published": "2026-05-17", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2026-05-17", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-11", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-17", "sampleSize": 1668, "primary": { "alp": 29.5, "lnp": 24, "grn": 11.5, "onp": 24.5, "oth": 10.5 }, "components": { "lib": 21, "nat": 3 }, "tpp": { "alp": 54, "lnp": 46 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/10228-federal-voting-intention-may-18-2026", "published": "2026-05-17", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "resolve-2026-05-16", "pollster": "Resolve", "client": "Sydney Morning Herald/The Age", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-13", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-16", "sampleSize": 1800, "primary": { "alp": 29, "lnp": 23, "grn": 12, "onp": 24, "oth": 12 }, "components": { "ind": 7, "othOnly": 5 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Resolve / Sydney Morning Herald/The Age", "url": "https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-s-primary-vote-slumps-after-broken-promise-budget-20260517-p5zxus.html", "published": "2026-05-16", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "freshwater-2026-05-15", "pollster": "Freshwater", "client": "The Chronicle", "fieldworkStart": "2026-05-13", "fieldworkEnd": "2026-05-15", "sampleSize": 1384, "primary": { "alp": 29, "lnp": 25, "grn": 11, "onp": 26, "oth": 9 }, "tpp": { "alp": null, "lnp": null }, "source": { "publisher": "Freshwater / The Chronicle", "url": "https://www.thechronicle.com.au/business/economy/australian-economy/albaneses-budget-a-lead-balloon-as-voter-trust-in-government-collapses/news-story/b0272a6f164f3904c0064360f5bb148d", "published": "2026-05-15", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": 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"https://www.thenewdaily.com.au/news/politics/2025/08/18/albanese-newspoll", "published": "2025-08-14", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "wolf-smith-2025-07-30", "pollster": "Wolf & Smith", "client": "Australian Financial Review", "fieldworkStart": "2025-07-18", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-07-30", "sampleSize": 5000, "primary": { "alp": 36, "lnp": 30, "grn": null, "onp": null, "oth": null }, "tpp": { "alp": 57, "lnp": 43 }, "source": { "publisher": "Wolf & Smith / Australian Financial Review", "url": "https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/voters-baulk-at-expanding-gst-to-fund-tax-cuts-20250804-p5mk99", "published": "2025-07-30", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest", "note": "Not reported by this pollster: grn, onp, oth. Recorded as null, never estimated." } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2025-07-27", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2025-06-30", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-07-27", "sampleSize": 5159, "primary": { "alp": 36.5, "lnp": 31, "grn": 12, "onp": 7, "oth": 13.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 57, "lnp": 43 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9932-federal-voting-intention-july-27-2025", "published": "2025-07-27", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "resolve-2025-07-18", "pollster": "Resolve", "client": "Sydney Morning Herald/The Age", "fieldworkStart": "2025-07-13", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-07-18", "sampleSize": 2311, "primary": { "alp": 35, "lnp": 29, "grn": 12, "onp": 8, "oth": 16 }, "components": { "ind": 8, "othOnly": 8 }, "tpp": { "alp": 56, "lnp": 44 }, "source": { "publisher": "Resolve / Sydney Morning Herald/The Age", "url": "https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/the-long-climb-disaster-for-coalition-in-new-opinion-poll-as-albanese-builds-on-record-win-20250718-p5mg0x.html", "published": "2025-07-18", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "newspoll-2025-07-17", "pollster": "Newspoll", "client": "The Australian", "fieldworkStart": "2025-07-14", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-07-17", "sampleSize": 1264, "primary": { "alp": 36, "lnp": 29, "grn": 12, "onp": 8, "oth": 15 }, "tpp": { "alp": 57, "lnp": 43 }, "source": { "publisher": "Newspoll / The Australian", "url": "https://www.theaustralian.com.au/nation/politics/newspoll-coalition-vote-collapses-as-labor-snags-a-second-honeymoon/news-story/f511fc58eac90093dddcf9f7939231a4", "published": "2025-07-17", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "demosau-2025-07-06", "pollster": "DemosAU", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2025-07-05", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-07-06", "sampleSize": 1199, "primary": { "alp": 36, "lnp": 26, "grn": 14, "onp": 9, "oth": 15 }, "tpp": { "alp": 59, "lnp": 41 }, "source": { "publisher": "DemosAU", "url": "https://demosau.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/07/DemosAU-Report-Federal-Voting-Intention-July-05-06-2025.pdf", "published": "2025-07-06", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "spectre-strategy-2025-07-01", "pollster": "Spectre Strategy", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2025-06-27", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-07-01", "sampleSize": 1001, "primary": { "alp": 35.9, "lnp": 31, "grn": 12.8, "onp": 7.9, "oth": 12.3 }, "tpp": { "alp": 56.5, "lnp": 43.5 }, "source": { "publisher": "Spectre Strategy", "url": "https://www.spectrestrategy.com/blog-3-1/austalian-federal-polling-update-july-2025", "published": "2025-07-01", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "redbridge-accent-2025-06-30", "pollster": "RedBridge/Accent", "client": "Australian Financial Review", "fieldworkStart": "2025-06-19", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-06-30", "sampleSize": 4036, "primary": { "alp": 37, "lnp": 31, "grn": 11, "onp": 9, "oth": 12 }, "tpp": { "alp": 55.5, "lnp": 44.5 }, "source": { "publisher": "RedBridge/Accent / Australian Financial Review", "url": "https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/youthquake-coalition-deserted-by-younger-voters-20250701-p5mbja", "published": "2025-06-30", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2025-06-29", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2025-06-23", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-06-29", "sampleSize": 1522, "primary": { "alp": 36.5, "lnp": 30.5, "grn": 12, "onp": 8.5, "oth": 12.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 57.5, "lnp": 42.5 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9927-federal-voting-intention-june-30-2025", "published": "2025-06-29", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2025-06-22", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2025-06-02", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-06-22", "sampleSize": 3957, "primary": { "alp": 37.5, "lnp": 31, "grn": 12, "onp": 6, "oth": 13.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 58, "lnp": 42 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9921-federal-voting-intention-june-24-2025", "published": "2025-06-22", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } }, { "id": "roy-morgan-2025-06-01", "pollster": "Roy Morgan", "client": null, "fieldworkStart": "2025-05-05", "fieldworkEnd": "2025-06-01", "sampleSize": 5128, "primary": { "alp": 37, "lnp": 31, "grn": 11.5, "onp": 6, "oth": 14.5 }, "tpp": { "alp": 58.5, "lnp": 41.5 }, "source": { "publisher": "Roy Morgan", "url": "https://www.roymorgan.com/findings/9901-federal-voting-intention-june-3-2025", "published": "2025-06-01", "retrieved": "2026-07-22", "method": "ingest" } } ], "baseline": [ { "event": "2025 federal election result", "date": "2025-05-03", "primary": { "alp": 34.6, "lnp": 31.8, "grn": 12.2, "onp": 6.4, "oth": 15 }, "source": { "publisher": "Australian Electoral Commission", "url": "https://abc.net.au/news/elections/federal/2025/results/party-totals", "note": "Actual result, not a poll. No sampling error applies." } } ] }