State politics
Victoria
Victorians elect all 88 members of the Legislative Assembly on 28 November 2026. The date is fixed in the Electoral Act, not chosen by the premier. Below is every published poll of Assembly voting intention, shown with the uncertainty attached.
Primary vote trend
48 polls from 8 polling organisations, fieldwork between 16 February 2023 and 24 July 2026.
Who is funding the campaign
Disclosed within 21 daysVictoria requires a donation of $1,290 or more to be disclosed within 21 days, and publishes it straight away. The same donation made to a federal party would sit in an annual return until the February after the financial year ends. That is why this section shows money arriving during the campaign rather than after it — the register held 3,876 donations when it was retrieved on 28 July 2026, the most recent dated 28 July 2026.
Largest recipients, whole register
- AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY - VICTORIAN BRANCH$3,335,4611,443 donations · $14,708 not money
- LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA - VICTORIAN DIVISION$2,112,154716 donations · $15,797 not money
- Australian Greens Victoria$600,648430 donations · $86,574 not money
- NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA - VICTORIA$375,472168 donations · $9,937 not money
- Sophie Torney$316,74060 donations · $35,000 not money
- Paul Hopper$283,90024 donations
- Shima Ibuki$255,12018 donations
- VICTORIAN SOCIALISTS$188,82874 donations
- Anthony Lupton$182,04019 donations
- Kate Lardner$131,98047 donations · $21,555 not money
Largest donors
- Climate 200 Pty Ltd$373,71210×
- Paul Hopper$296,57027×
- Anthony Lupton$156,9909×
- Maya Tesa$132,97817×
- Jason McClintock$110,0002×
- Malik Zaveer$70,0004×
- Sophie Torney$55,0003×
- Darren Natale$54,74916×
Most recent
- David Hall$5,000to Shima Ibuki · 28 Jul
- Ken Phillips$1,500to LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA - VICTORIAN DIVISION · 23 Jul
- Graeme Booth $5,000to Shima Ibuki · 22 Jul
- Anna Roberts$5,000to Jessica Marsh · 18 Jul (received) · Donor Unreconciled
- Costas Builders Mart Pty Ltd$3,200to LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA - VICTORIAN DIVISION · 16 Jul
- Nimbin Hemp Inc$5,100to Legalise Cannabis Victoria · 16 Jul
- Nimbin Hemp Inc$5,100to Legalise Cannabis Victoria · 16 Jul
- Oscar Yildiz$7,876to Oscar Yildiz · 15 Jul · Recipient Unreconciled
What this register does and does not say
- A donation is disclosed twice, once by the donor and once by the recipient, and the register calls a record reconciled only once both have lodged. An unreconciled record is one side's account of a donation the other has not yet confirmed. It is published here with its status attached, never dropped and never treated as settled.
- Each side supplies its own date, so an unreconciled record carries only that side's. Where the donor has not lodged there is no date the donation was made, and the date shown is the date the recipient says they received it. Which one is being shown is recorded on every record rather than left to be guessed.
- Not every donation is money. The register also records property, services and loans, which are valued rather than paid. They are counted separately from cash rather than added into a single total that would read as money received.
- Only donations at or above the disclosure threshold appear. The threshold is indexed and has changed over the period covered, so a count of donations is not a measure of how many people gave.
- The Party column is empty for a donation to an independent candidate or member. That is a fact about the recipient, not a missing value.
- This is the register as at the retrieval date on this page. Victoria's 21-day rule means a donation made in the last three weeks may not be disclosed yet, so the most recent weeks always undercount.
Source: Victorian Electoral Commission — disclosed donations. Victorian Electoral Commission, licensed under CC BY 4.0 (DataVic Access Policy).
What happened last time
First preferences at the 26 November 2022 election. This is a measurement, not a poll — it carries no sampling error, so it is held apart from the trend above rather than drawn into it.
Source: Victorian Electoral Commission.
Known limitations of this dataset
- One Nation is not reported before 10 February 2026
These tables carried no One Nation column until then, so earlier polls record it as not reported rather than as zero — its support in those years is inside Others. The line starts partway along the chart because that is when pollsters began publishing the figure, not because the vote appeared that week.
- Lower house only
Legislative Council polling is published but excluded here. The upper house is elected by proportional representation from multi-member regions, so a statewide share means something different there and is not comparable with these figures.
- Freshwater · fieldwork to 8 Jun
Reported primary votes sum to 98.0%, not 100% — transcribed as published.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 7 Dec
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge/Accent · fieldwork to 8 Dec
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Freshwater · fieldwork to 24 Nov
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Newspoll · fieldwork to 20 Nov
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Freshwater · fieldwork to 17 Nov
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- DemosAU · fieldwork to 27 Oct
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 12 Oct
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge/Accent · fieldwork to 14 Oct
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 11 Sep
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- DemosAU · fieldwork to 9 Sep
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 17 Aug
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Newspoll · fieldwork to 30 Jun
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 30 Jun
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 30 Mar
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 2 Apr
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- DemosAU · fieldwork to 21 Mar
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 20 Nov
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 10 Nov
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 3 Oct
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 18 Sep
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 7 Sep
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Wolf & Smith · fieldwork to 29 Aug
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 5 Aug
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 14 Jul
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 7 Jun
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 19 May
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 24 Mar
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 20 Mar
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 12 Dec
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 3 Dec
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Redbridge · fieldwork to 14 Sep
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Roy Morgan · fieldwork to 20 Jul
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Roy Morgan · fieldwork to 22 May
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 22 Apr
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
- Resolve · fieldwork to 18 Feb
Not reported by this pollster: onp. Recorded as null, never estimated.
Poll figures are facts published by the named polling organisations; where available each record links to that organisation's own release. Table structure and aggregation sourced from Wikipedia, 'Opinion polling for the 2026 Victorian state election' (CC BY-SA 4.0).