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Federal electorate · Victoria

Dunkley

Dunkley is a federal electorate in Victoria, held by Jodie Belyea of the Australian Labor Party since the 2025 election, by a margin of 7.08 points — a fairly safe seat.

Member for Dunkley

Jodie Belyea

Australian Labor Party

Their voting record and expenses →

The 2025 result

Final two candidates after preferences were distributed, from the election held 3 May 2025.

  • Jodie BELYEAAustralian Labor Party57.08%62,314 votes
  • Nathan CONROYLiberal42.92%46,860 votes
Margin
7.08%
Fairly Safe
Two-party-preferred swing
+0.31%
to Australian Labor Party
Turnout
92.27%
124,350 enrolled

First preferences in 2025

How the seat voted before preferences were distributed. The Coalition is counted as one figure across its four registrations, and the Greens across both of theirs — in Victoria they contest as GVIC and elsewhere as GRN, which read as two separate minor parties if left unmerged.

  • Labor38.3%
  • Coalition32.3%
  • Greens11.6%
  • Minor parties8.0%
  • One Nation6.9%
  • Independents3.0%

Suburbs in Dunkley

15 suburbs and localities have residents in this electorate. 3of them also have residents in another one — the percentage is the share of that area’s Census population living here.

  • Frankston
  • Langwarrin
  • Carrum Downs
  • Frankston South
  • Seaford (Vic.)
  • Skye (Vic.)
  • Patterson Lakes
  • Bonbeach
  • Frankston North
  • Sandhurst
  • Mount Eliza 28%
  • Carrum
  • Chelsea 47%
  • Chelsea Heights 38%
  • Langwarrin South

Postcodes in Dunkley

10 postcodes have residents in this electorate. 4of them also have residents in another one — the percentage is the share of that area’s Census population living here.

  • 3199
  • 3910
  • 3201
  • 3198
  • 3977 11%
  • 3196 48%
  • 3197
  • 3200
  • 3930 28%
  • 3911 39%

Where this comes from

  • Results, margins and turnout are the AEC’s published 2025figures. The margin is derived — the winner’s two-candidate-preferred share minus 50 — and the seat status is the AEC’s own classification.
  • Suburbs and postcodes come from 2021 Census mesh blocks matched to CED_2025 boundaries, weighted by resident population rather than by area — otherwise a large, largely uninhabited postcode is assigned to whichever division holds the most empty land.
  • These are an approximation of the AEC’s legal boundaries, so close to a boundary they can differ. To confirm where you are enrolled, check the AEC.

Australian Statistical Geography Standard Edition 3 allocation files and 2021 Census Mesh Block Counts, © Australian Bureau of Statistics.